Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.266869 0.310049 0.359665 0.421270 0.496226 0.585129 0.699538
2025-08-10 0.200425 0.254802 0.324703 0.422756 0.559381 0.747068 1.031759
2025-08-17 0.162328 0.219894 0.300103 0.423341 0.614130 0.909467 1.425301
2025-08-24 0.136580 0.194140 0.279472 0.420383 0.658156 1.065476 1.871928
2025-08-31 0.117302 0.173256 0.260458 0.413279 0.690662 1.209837 2.362120
2025-09-07 0.106105 0.162349 0.254173 0.424437 0.756183 1.434651 3.130712
2025-09-14 0.093964 0.147806 0.238999 0.415951 0.781422 1.586972 3.822340
2025-09-21 0.085903 0.138768 0.231551 0.419824 0.832093 1.813542 4.858005
2025-09-28 0.078517 0.129806 0.222680 0.418782 0.871563 2.029349 6.027785
2025-10-05 0.073896 0.125109 0.220893 0.431770 0.947052 2.372064 7.933596
2025-10-12 0.069474 0.120173 0.217822 0.441233 1.016920 2.733514 10.305930
2025-10-19 0.065479 0.115534 0.214610 0.449657 1.086970 3.133289 13.366746
2025-10-26 0.062168 0.111929 0.213222 0.462738 1.176645 3.660044 17.973878
2025-11-02 0.058427 0.107059 0.208508 0.466874 1.242771 4.149035 23.366603
2025-11-09 0.054872 0.102167 0.203068 0.468100 1.301116 4.651877 30.101401
2025-11-16 0.051389 0.097052 0.196445 0.464885 1.344508 5.126670 38.023043
2025-11-23 0.047962 0.091711 0.188623 0.456885 1.369339 5.539230 46.819301
2025-11-30 0.046117 0.089588 0.188075 0.469505 1.474725 6.459959 65.701313
2025-12-07 0.043178 0.084777 0.180467 0.459912 1.492423 6.918339 80.805921
2025-12-14 0.041248 0.082038 0.177621 0.464290 1.568965 7.816510 109.847341
2025-12-21 0.039198 0.078841 0.173248 0.463112 1.622773 8.635896 145.140480
2025-12-28 0.038050 0.077610 0.173746 0.477800 1.754121 10.183477 220.089738
2026-01-04 0.036791 0.075999 0.173055 0.488510 1.873499 11.828304 331.969099